RSS AMSU, Jan-Jul: 2011 second coldest in this century
According to RSS AMSU, the first 7 months were the 2nd coldest January-July period in this century so far (second among 11 candidate years).
The top 15 ranking of the years 1979-2011 according to the average temperature during the first seven months is as follows:- 1998: 0.652
- 2010: 0.545
- 2002: 0.373
- 2005: 0.356
- 2007: 0.310
- 2003: 0.295
- 2004: 0.230
- 2006: 0.206
- 2001: 0.195
- 2009: 0.168
- 1991: 0.163
- 2011: 0.138
- 1995: 0.134
- 1988: 0.121
- 1983: 0.118
Some warming may have been taking place in recent months - because of the delayed effect of the disappearing La Nina a few months ago.
Right now, the ENSO oscillations are finding themselves in ENSO neutral conditions.
However, the latest weekly ENSO report says that the ONI 3.4 anomaly is at -0.4 °C - it went down again and is approaching -0.5 °C, the boundary of the La Nina conditions, again.
Also, their models show that there are equal odds that we will see continuing neutral conditions in the Fall - or that we will see another La Nina episode. I
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